{"id":82857,"date":"2023-06-27T19:35:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T16:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=82857"},"modified":"2023-06-27T14:32:29","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T11:32:29","slug":"az-isw-felmerte-prigozsin-lazadasanak-kovetkezmenyeit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=82857&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az ISW felm\u00e9rte Prigozsin l\u00e1zad\u00e1s\u00e1nak k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyeit"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Jevgenyij Prigozsin, a Wagner katonai mag\u00e1nalakulat alap\u00edt\u00f3j\u00e1nak fegyveres l\u00e1zad\u00e1sa \u00e9s a Moszkva elleni menete kimutatta a Kreml gyenges\u00e9g\u00e9t. Val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg ez jelent\u0151s k\u00e1rokat fog okozni az agresszor orsz\u00e1g er\u0151fesz\u00edt\u00e9seiben az Ukrajna elleni h\u00e1bor\u00faban, \u00e1ll a H\u00e1bor\u00fas Tanulm\u00e1nyok Int\u00e9zete&nbsp;(ISW) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-24-2023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">jelent\u00e9s\u00e9ben<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/webp-large-5-1024x478.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-82637\" srcset=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/webp-large-5-1024x478.webp 1024w, https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/webp-large-5-300x140.webp 300w, https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/webp-large-5-768x359.webp 768w, https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/webp-large-5.webp 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201ePrigozsin felkel\u00e9se bebizony\u00edtotta, hogy az orosz csapatoknak a h\u00e1torsz\u00e1gban nincsenek tartal\u00e9kai, \u00e9s ez szinte biztosan rontja az orosz csapatok mor\u00e1lj\u00e1t Ukrajn\u00e1ban, mert az ukr\u00e1n er\u0151k ezt felhaszn\u00e1lhatj\u00e1k az orosz v\u00e9delem \u00e1tt\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9re tett k\u00eds\u00e9rletek korrig\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1ra\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elemz\u0151k azt \u00edrj\u00e1k, hogy most a Kreml m\u00e9lyen instabil helyzettel n\u00e9z szembe. Az Alekszandr Lukasenko \u00e1ltal k\u00f6zvet\u00edtett meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s r\u00f6vid, \u00e9s nem pedig hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa megold\u00e1s, Prigozsin l\u00e1zad\u00e1sa a Kremlben \u00e9s az orosz v\u00e9delmi miniszt\u00e9rium gyenges\u00e9geit t\u00e1rta fel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eAbszurdak azok a felt\u00e9telez\u00e9sek, amelyek szerint Prigozsin felkel\u00e9s\u00e9t, a Kreml v\u00e1lasz\u00e1t \u00e9s Lukasenka k\u00f6zvet\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9t a Kreml rendezte meg\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az ISW felh\u00edvja a figyelmet arra, hogy a Wagner alakulat l\u00e9p\u00e9sei r\u00e1vil\u00e1g\u00edtottak az orosz hatalmi strukt\u00far\u00e1k gyenges\u00e9g\u00e9re, \u00e9s megmutatt\u00e1k, hogy Vlagyimir Putyin k\u00e9ptelen er\u0151it kell\u0151 id\u0151ben felhaszn\u00e1lni egy bels\u0151 fenyeget\u00e9s visszaszor\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra, ami al\u00e1\u00e1sta ereje monop\u00f3lium\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezen t\u00falmen\u0151en a Wagner l\u00e9p\u00e9sei r\u00e1mutattak arra, hogy az orosz katonai tartal\u00e9kok le\u00e9p\u00fcltek, szinte teljes m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben az ukrajnai harcokba lettek bevetve, valamint annak vesz\u00e9ly\u00e9t, hogy az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 hat\u00e1rainak v\u00e9delm\u00e9ben tapasztalatlan hadk\u00f6telesekre t\u00e1maszkodnak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az elemz\u0151k nem j\u00f3solj\u00e1k a Kreml gyors \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1t, de Prigozsin l\u00e1zad\u00e1sa \u00e9s az oroszorsz\u00e1gi esem\u00e9nyek nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel jelent\u0151s k\u00e1rokat okoznak Moszkva katonai er\u0151fesz\u00edt\u00e9seiben az Ukrajna elleni h\u00e1bor\u00faban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jevgenyij Prigozsin, a Wagner katonai mag\u00e1nalakulat alap\u00edt\u00f3j\u00e1nak fegyveres l\u00e1zad\u00e1sa \u00e9s a Moszkva elleni menete kimutatta a Kreml gyenges\u00e9g\u00e9t. Val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg ez jelent\u0151s k\u00e1rokat fog okozni az agresszor orsz\u00e1g er\u0151fesz\u00edt\u00e9seiben az Ukrajna elleni h\u00e1bor\u00faban.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":82637,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,53452,11,39],"tags":[251549,128494,251165],"class_list":["post-82857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-haborus-tanulmanyok-intezete-isw","tag-kovetkezmenyek","tag-prigozsin-lazadasa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82857","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=82857"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82857\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82887,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82857\/revisions\/82887"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/82637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=82857"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=82857"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=82857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}