{"id":59669,"date":"2022-10-10T13:31:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-10T10:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=59669"},"modified":"2022-10-10T13:10:52","modified_gmt":"2022-10-10T10:10:52","slug":"szocialdemokrata-gyozelmet-jeleznek-az-also-szaszorszagi-valasztas-exit-poll-adatai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=59669&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Szoci\u00e1ldemokrata gy\u0151zelmet jeleznek az als\u00f3-sz\u00e1szorsz\u00e1gi v\u00e1laszt\u00e1s exit poll adatai"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"630\" height=\"351\" src=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/92-main-v1665339167.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-59670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/92-main-v1665339167.jpg 630w, https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/92-main-v1665339167-300x167.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A N\u00e9met Szoci\u00e1ldemokrata P\u00e1rt (SPD) nagy ar\u00e1ny\u00fa gy\u0151zelm\u00e9t jelzik a n\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gi Als\u00f3-Sz\u00e1szorsz\u00e1g tartom\u00e1nyban vas\u00e1rnap tartott tartom\u00e1nyi (Landtag-) t\u00f6rv\u00e9nyhoz\u00e1si v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sr\u00f3l urnaz\u00e1r\u00e1s ut\u00e1n megjelent els\u0151 adatok, a szavaz\u00f3k\u00f6r\u00f6kb\u0151l kil\u00e9p\u0151k megk\u00e9rdez\u00e9s\u00e9n alapul\u00f3 felm\u00e9r\u00e9sek (exit poll).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A k\u00e9t orsz\u00e1gos k\u00f6zszolg\u00e1lati telev\u00edzi\u00f3 (ARD, ZDF) megb\u00edz\u00e1s\u00e1b\u00f3l v\u00e9gzett kutat\u00e1sok szerint az SPD a szavazatok 32,5-33,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t gy\u0171jthette \u00f6ssze.<br>A m\u00e1sodik helyen az eddigi koal\u00edci\u00f3s t\u00e1rs Kereszt\u00e9nydemokrata Uni\u00f3 (CDU) \u00e1llhat 27,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal.<br>Meglehet, hogy a CDU a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 ciklusban ellenz\u00e9kbe szorul, mert a szoci\u00e1ldemokrat\u00e1k a 14-14,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos eredm\u00e9nnyel a harmadik sz\u00e1m\u00fa politikai er\u0151 szerep\u00e9ben meger\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 Z\u00f6ldekkel is korm\u00e1nyozhatnak.<br>A CDU-t\u00f3l jobbra \u00e1ll\u00f3 Alternat\u00edva N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gnak (AfD) a szavazatok 11,5-12 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t gy\u0171jthette \u00f6ssze.<br>Nem biztos, hogy meg\u0151rzi k\u00e9pviselet\u00e9t a hannoveri Landtagban a liber\u00e1lis Szabad Demokrata P\u00e1rt (FDP), amely \u00e9ppen a bejut\u00e1si k\u00fcsz\u00f6b\u00f6n, 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon \u00e1ll az exit pollok szerint.<br>A kamp\u00e1nyt nem tartom\u00e1nyi, hanem orsz\u00e1gos \u00fcgyek, els\u0151sorban az energiav\u00e1ls\u00e1g, az emelked\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3, az Oroszorsz\u00e1g Ukrajna elleni h\u00e1bor\u00faj\u00e1nak k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyei hat\u00e1rozt\u00e1k meg.<br>Ezek a k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyek a nagy n\u00e9pp\u00e1rtoknak (SPD, CDU) \u00e9s az FDP-nek kedvez\u0151tlennek bizonyultak, viszont jelent\u0151sen er\u0151s\u00f6dtek a Z\u00f6ldek, annak ellen\u00e9re, hogy sz\u00f6vets\u00e9gi szinten korm\u00e1nyon vannak, a szoci\u00e1ldemokrat\u00e1kkal \u00e9s a liber\u00e1lisokkal. Sz\u00e1mottev\u0151en b\u0151v\u00edtette t\u00e1bor\u00e1t az AfD is, amely azonban az orsz\u00e1g keleti r\u00e9sz\u00e9n, a volt NDK ter\u00fclet\u00e9n megszokott 20 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli eredm\u00e9nyhez k\u00e9pest tov\u00e1bbra is m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelten n\u00e9pszer\u0171 a nyugati Als\u00f3-Sz\u00e1szorsz\u00e1gban.<br>\u00cdgy az SPD a legut\u00f3bbi, 2017-es Landtag-v\u00e1laszt\u00e1son szerzett 36,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9khoz viszony\u00edtva 4,2 \u00e9s 3,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kpont k\u00f6z\u00f6tti m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben gyeng\u00fclt. A kereszt\u00e9nydemokrat\u00e1k t\u00e1mogatotts\u00e1ga 6-6,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kpont k\u00f6r\u00fcli m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben cs\u00f6kkent a 2017-es 33,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9khoz k\u00e9pest. Az FDP az \u00f6t \u00e9vvel kor\u00e1bbi 7,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9khoz viszony\u00edtva 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kpontot vesz\u00edtett.<br>A Z\u00f6ldek 5,3-5,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal jobb eredm\u00e9nyt \u00e9rtek el, mint 2017-ben, amikor a szavazatok 14 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t gy\u0171jt\u00f6tt\u00e9k \u00f6ssze.<br>Az AfD a 2017-es 7,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9khoz k\u00e9pest 5,4-5,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00f6tt. Azonban \u00edgy is biztosan ellenz\u00e9kben marad, mert egyetlen p\u00e1rt sem hajland\u00f3 egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6dni vele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MTI<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A N\u00e9met Szoci\u00e1ldemokrata P\u00e1rt (SPD) nagy ar\u00e1ny\u00fa gy\u0151zelm\u00e9t jelzik a n\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gi Als\u00f3-Sz\u00e1szorsz\u00e1g tartom\u00e1nyban vas\u00e1rnap tartott tartom\u00e1nyi (Landtag-) t\u00f6rv\u00e9nyhoz\u00e1si v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sr\u00f3l urnaz\u00e1r\u00e1s ut\u00e1n megjelent els\u0151 adatok, a szavaz\u00f3k\u00f6r\u00f6kb\u0151l kil\u00e9p\u0151k megk\u00e9rdez\u00e9s\u00e9n alapul\u00f3 felm\u00e9r\u00e9sek (exit poll).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":59670,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,41,49,39],"tags":[137005,27905,27904,10806],"class_list":["post-59669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-also-szaszorszag","tag-nemet-szocialdemokrata-part-spd","tag-olaf-scholz","tag-tartomanyi-valasztasok"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=59669"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59669\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59671,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59669\/revisions\/59671"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/59670"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=59669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=59669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=59669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}