{"id":131207,"date":"2024-11-01T20:35:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T18:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=131207"},"modified":"2024-11-01T18:31:10","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T16:31:10","slug":"trump-all-nyeresre-harris-vezet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=131207&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Trump \u00e1ll nyer\u00e9sre, Harris vezet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Mint ismert, az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokban az egyes tag\u00e1llamok elektorokat v\u00e1lasztanak, \u00e9s az eln\u00f6ki tiszts\u00e9gr\u0151l a v\u00e9gs\u0151 d\u00f6nt\u00e9st azok hozz\u00e1k majd meg. Mivel a legt\u00f6bb tag\u00e1llamban a t\u00f6bbs\u00e9get szerz\u0151 p\u00e1rt az \u00e1llam \u00f6sszes elektor\u00e1t elnyeri, el\u0151fordulhat \u2013 \u00e9s m\u00e1r t\u00f6bbsz\u00f6r el\u0151 is fordult \u2013, hogy nem a legt\u00f6bb n\u00e9pi szavazatot kap\u00f3 eln\u00f6kjel\u00f6lt nyer. Az igazi k\u00e9rd\u00e9s teh\u00e1t az, hogy a k\u00e9t jel\u00f6lt az elektorok szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l hogyan \u00e1ll.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/kepernyofelvetel67.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-131208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/kepernyofelvetel67.png 720w, https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/kepernyofelvetel67-300x242.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A New York Times \u00e1ltal k\u00f6z\u00f6lt mai (november 1.) adatok szerint Kamala Harris az \u00f6sszes szavaz\u00f3kat tekintve egy sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal vezet Trump el\u0151tt, az elnyert elektorok verseny\u00e9ben viszont a legval\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171bb, hogy Trump 287 elektort nyer, Harris 251-et. Mivel a k\u00e9t jel\u00f6lt k\u00f6z\u00f6tti k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9g sz\u00e1mos tag\u00e1llamban hibahat\u00e1ron bel\u00fcl van, a lap modellezte azt is, ha azokban az \u00e1llamokban, ahol a k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9g 1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kn\u00e1l kisebb, ink\u00e1bb Harris vagy ink\u00e1bb Trump fel\u00e9 billen a m\u00e9rleg. Els\u0151 esetben Harris nyerne 276-262-re, a m\u00e1sodikban Trump nyerne 312-226-ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hozz\u00e1 kell tenn\u00fcnk, hogy a k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1s soha nem azt mutatja meg, hogy az emberek a j\u00f6v\u0151ben hogyan fognak szavazni, hanem azt, hogy a megk\u00e9rdez\u00e9s pillanat\u00e1ban hogyan szavaztak volna. A kett\u0151 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt nagy elt\u00e9r\u00e9s azonban, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen ilyen r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von, aligha v\u00e1rhat\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/demokrata.hu\/vilag\/harris-vezet-trump-all-nyeresre-904982\/\">(demokrata.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mint ismert, az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokban az egyes tag\u00e1llamok elektorokat v\u00e1lasztanak, \u00e9s az eln\u00f6ki tiszts\u00e9gr\u0151l a v\u00e9gs\u0151 d\u00f6nt\u00e9st azok hozz\u00e1k majd meg. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":131208,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2058,41,49,39],"tags":[157563,783,12227],"class_list":["post-131207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-amerikai-valasztasok","tag-donald-trump","tag-kamala-harris"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=131207"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":131209,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131207\/revisions\/131209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/131208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=131207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=131207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=131207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}